Un modelo vectorial autorregresivo (var) aplicado a la fecundidad y nupcialidad en españa
-
1
Universidad de Oviedo
info
ISSN: 1575-605X
Año de publicación: 2014
Volumen: 15
Número: 2
Páginas: 99-109
Tipo: Artículo
Otras publicaciones en: Rect@: Revista Electrónica de Comunicaciones y Trabajos de ASEPUMA
Resumen
The study analyzes in Spain the relationship between fecundity and marriage. In order to analyze how marriage and fertility are interrelated variables over time empirically evaluated a model that attempts to capture the noncausal temporal relationships between both phenomena in Spain. The analysis is approached by a VAR model and impulse response functions. The data used comes from the National Statistics Institute (INE). It has proven a fluctuating relationship between the two processes and weakly procyclical. The performances on BIRTHS generate effects on both series showing influence-‐leadership.
Referencias bibliográficas
- A. Valero (1997), La fecundidad en España, ¿caída sin límites o recuperación? Hacia un nuevo régimen demográfico, Política y Sociedad 26, 25-39.
- J. Bongaarts (1978), A Framework for Analyzing the Proximate Determinants of Fertility, Population and Development Review 4, 105-131.
- J. Hajnal (1965), European marriage patterns in perspective, in D. V. Glass, and D. E. C.Eversley eds. Population in History. London: Edward Arnold 101-146.
- J. Hajnal (1982), Two kinds of preindustrial household formation system, Population and Development Review, 8(3), 449-494.
- J. Stover (1998), Revising the Proximate Determinants of Fertility Framework. What have we learned in the past 20 years? Studies in Family Planning 29(3), 255-267.
- K. Davis y J. Blake (1956), Social Structure and Fertility: An Analytic Framework, Economic and Cultural Change, 4, 211-235.
- UNITED NATIONS (2003), Partnership and Reproductive Behaviour in Low-Fertility Countries, New York, United Nations publication, ST/ESA/SER.A/234.
- M.Budowski y L. Rosero-Bixby (2003), Fatherless Costa Rica: Child acknowledgementand support among lone mothers, Journal of Comparative Family Studies, 34(2), 229-254.
- T. Castro (1999), Pautas recientes en la formación de pareja: ampliando el concepto de nupcialidad a las uniones consensuales, Revista Internacional de Sociología 23, 61-94.
- T. Castro (2002), Consensual unions in Latin America: Persistence of a dual nuptialitysystem, Journal of Comparative Family Studies 33(1), 35-55.
- T. Castro (2007)., Maternidad sin matrimonio: nueva vía de formación de familias en España, Documento de Trabajo Fundación BBVA 6.
- W. Njogu y T. Castro (1998), Weakening linkages between marriage and childbearing in Kenya: An intersurvey comparison. IUSSP Seminar on Reproductive Change in Sub-Saharan Africa, 2-4 Noviembre 1998, Nairobi.
- C. Sims (1980), Macroeconomics and reality, Econometrica, 48, 165-192.
- F. Ballabriga (1991), Instrumentos de la metodología VAR, Documento de Trabajo, Banco de España, Servicio de Estudios 9108.