Un modelo vectorial autorregresivo (var) aplicado a la fecundidad y nupcialidad en españa

  1. Díaz Fernández, Montserrat 1
  2. Llorente Marrón, María del Mar 1
  3. Méndez Rodríguez, Paz 1
  1. 1 Universidad de Oviedo
    info

    Universidad de Oviedo

    Oviedo, España

    ROR https://ror.org/006gksa02

Revista:
Rect@: Revista Electrónica de Comunicaciones y Trabajos de ASEPUMA

ISSN: 1575-605X

Any de publicació: 2014

Volum: 15

Número: 2

Pàgines: 99-109

Tipus: Article

Altres publicacions en: Rect@: Revista Electrónica de Comunicaciones y Trabajos de ASEPUMA

Resum

The study analyzes in Spain the relationship between fecundity and marriage. In order to analyze how marriage and fertility are interrelated variables over time empirically evaluated a model that attempts to capture the noncausal temporal relationships between both phenomena in Spain. The analysis is approached by a VAR model and impulse response functions. The data used comes from the National Statistics Institute (INE). It has proven a fluctuating relationship between the two processes and weakly procyclical. The performances on BIRTHS generate effects on both series showing influence-­‐leadership.

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