Modelización estocástica y generación de escenarios para gestión de desastres

  1. Rodriguez Martinez, Adan
Dirigida per:
  1. Begoña Vitoriano Villanueva Director/a

Universitat de defensa: Universidad Complutense de Madrid

Fecha de defensa: 23 de de juny de 2021

Tribunal:
  1. María Teresa Ortuño Sánchez President/a
  2. Juan Tinguaro Rodríguez González Secretari/ària
  3. Clara Simón de Blas Vocal
  4. Julián Molina Luque Vocal
  5. Federico Liberatore Vocal

Tipus: Tesi

Resum

Uncertainty in decision problems poses two major challenges: the treatment of uncertainty incorporating it into a decision model, and its characterisation, usually through scenarios. This dissertation addresses both problems as applied to disaster management in the pre-disaster phases (prevention and preparedness). The spatial component of these phenomena is also considered, which leads to a substantial increase in its difficulty. The study of stochastic modelling and scenario generation will focus on two different contexts, natural disasters in developing countries and wildfires...