The determinants of the choice of exchange rate regimes in Latin Americaa mixed multinomial logit approach
- Álvarez Ondina, Pedro
- Pérez Rivero, José Luis 1
- Vicente Queijeiro, Saúl de 1
- Vicente Cuervo, María Rosalía 1
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1
Universidad de Oviedo
info
Año de publicación: 2008
Número: 277
Tipo: Documento de Trabajo
Resumen
The choice of the exchange rate regime is one of the most significant monetary policy decisions that any economic authority has to make nowadays. Indeed, there have been many studies from a theoretical and empirical point of view, but the only common conclusion would be the lack of consensus. In the past this topic has been modeled by binary probit or cross-sectional multinomial logit models, both of which have weaknesses in the assumptions of the choices. In this paper, such issue is faced by means of a panel mixed multinomial logit model, which allows for substitution pattern among the three types of exchange rate regimes: fixed, intermediate, and flexible. Three types of choice determinants are explored: those stated by the Optimum Currency Area (OCA) theory, types of shocks and vulnerability to currency crises, using a sample of 21 Latin American countries for the period 1980-2004.